Blog Post 3.3: Impeachment & the Public

1. The seven most recent polls they looked at measured opinion about last weekend (Those covering Jan 19 in the polling dates).  How many showed more support for removing Trump than opposition for removing Trump? 
In all seven of the most recent polls, there was more support shown for removing Trump the opposition for removing him.

2. Which of these 7 polls found the most support for removing Trump? Which found the most opposition to removing Trump?
The January 17-20 FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos poll showed showed the most support for removing Trump. The January 16-20 Monmouth and January 19-21 The Economist/YouGov poll showed the most opposition for removing Trump.

3. In FiveThirtyEight's polling average, what percentage of Democrats support removing Trump from office? What percentage of Republicans support removing Trump from office?
83.9% of Democrats supported removing Trump and 8.4% of Republicans supported removing Trump from office. 

4. What difference did the most recent Monmouth University poll find in the people who say they support removing Trump from office and those who support the House impeaching Trump?
Monmouth University found that only 50.5% support impeaching Trump, while 45.6% do not support impeaching Trump.

5. Why does the author suggest that some Republicans may support removing Trump from office?
The author suggested that they may support his removal because they believe that Vice President Mike Pence (who would take over if Trump is ousted) would make a better president — but if faced with a choice between Trump and a Democratic candidate, they might still prefer Trump.

6. Why might the polls be misleading if they survey all adults as opposed to just likely voters?
The polls could be a bit misleading because the people who end up voting in elections tend to be a tad more Republican than the adult population.

7. How do men and women think differently about whether or not a woman candidate can win a presidential election?
89 percent of men said a woman could get elected while 9 percent disagreed, but women were less convinced, at 79 percent to 20 percent.

8. Which demographic group of people caused the Atlanta Journal Constitution to adjust its polling formulas? 
This week’s AJC poll included education in its weighting formula, an important development considering that respondent pools that underrepresented white voters without a college degree may have been responsible for some of 2016’s most egregious polling errors.

9. Related to issues we were discussing last week, how do Americans feel about the Supreme Court potentially overturning Roe v Wade?
Sixty-nine percent of Americans do not want Roe v. Wade to be overturned, but the public does support many restrictions on abortion that have been implemented on the state level.

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